Recent polls

Pollster Date OBN(1) Sample Size Poll Weight(2)
Weighted Average 26.6 7.8 40.6 8.4 6.9 1.58.2 n/a
Eurosondagem 14-Nov-2018 26.8 7.0 41.8 7.7 7.0 1.8 7.9 1018 2.60
Aximage (3,4) 12-Nov-2018 27.2 7.9 39.7 9.4 6.4 1.5 9.0 603 2.00
Aximage 03-Out-2018 24.5 9.4 39.7 9.3 7.5 1.1 8.5 601 0.75
Eurosondagem 12-Sep-2018 27.5 7.7 41.4 8.0 6.9 1.1 7.4 1008 0.65
Aximage 02-Sep-2018 24.6 9.4 40.7 7.9 7.2 1.2 9.0 603 0.50
(1) OBN = other parties, blanks and null votes.
(2) poll weight takes into account how recent the poll is and the number of people interviewed.
(3) We estimate PAN numbers based on other pollsters results.
(4) Undecided votes distributed according to raw poll percentages.

Seat Allocation Scenarios

OBN
Polls Weighted Average 26.6 7.8 40.6 8.46.9 1.58.2
Seat allocation according to coalitions
No coalitions 73 12 114 16 14 1 0
PSD-CDS 93 111 15 10 1 0
PS-BE 71 12 133(*) 13 1 0
PSD-CDS and PS-BE 90 129(*) 10 1 0
(*) absolute majority


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