Recent polls

Pollster Date OBN(1) Sample Size Poll Weight(2)
Weighted Average 26.1 8.5 40.5 8.7 7.2 1.17.9 n/a
Aximage (3,4) 03-Out-2018 24.5 9.4 39.7 9.3 7.5 1.1 8.5 601 2.00
Eurosondagem 12-Sep-2018 27.5 7.7 41.4 8.0 6.9 1.1 7.4 1008 1.94
Aximage 02-Sep-2018 24.6 9.4 40.7 7.9 7.2 1.2 9.0 603 1.00
Aximage 16-Jul-2018 27.8 7.6 39.9 9.7 7.2 1.2 6.5 600 0.50
Eurosondagem 11-Jul-2018 27.3 7.5 42.0 7.9 7.3 1.1 6.9 1011 0.32
Aximage 12-Jun-2018 28.6 6.5 38.1 10.6 7.4 1.4 7.3 602 0.25
(1) OBN = other parties, blanks and null votes.
(2) poll weight takes into account how recent the poll is and the number of people interviewed.
(3) We estimate PAN numbers based on other pollsters results.
(4) Undecided votes distributed according to raw poll percentages.

Seat Allocation Scenarios

OBN
Polls Weighted Average 26.1 8.5 40.5 8.77.2 1.17.9
Seat allocation according to coalitions
No coalitions 71 16 112 17 14 0 0
PSD-CDS 92 109 17 12 0 0
PS-BE 69 14 134(*) 13 0 0
PSD-CDS and PS-BE 90 129(*) 11 0 0
(*) absolute majority


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